Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.059442 0.067337 0.075405 0.084234 0.093595 0.103198 0.113765
2025-09-14 0.047589 0.059254 0.071739 0.085961 0.101587 0.118120 0.136826
2025-09-21 0.041077 0.055267 0.071024 0.089514 0.110342 0.132840 0.158754
2025-09-28 0.034990 0.050729 0.068816 0.090603 0.115670 0.143209 0.175382
2025-10-05 0.033542 0.051268 0.072122 0.097681 0.127488 0.160580 0.199575
2025-10-12 0.028395 0.046703 0.068942 0.096817 0.129881 0.167071 0.211353
2025-10-19 0.025257 0.044313 0.068097 0.098465 0.134975 0.176457 0.226245
2025-10-26 0.022036 0.041465 0.066423 0.098890 0.138449 0.183835 0.238725
2025-11-02 0.019683 0.039546 0.065736 0.100369 0.143050 0.192422 0.252508
2025-11-09 0.017086 0.037008 0.064052 0.100446 0.145838 0.198790 0.263646
2025-11-16 0.013799 0.033074 0.060248 0.097623 0.144916 0.200640 0.269406
2025-11-23 0.011088 0.029668 0.056912 0.095203 0.144329 0.202762 0.275372
2025-11-30 0.009542 0.028060 0.056107 0.096199 0.148186 0.210460 0.288244
2025-12-07 0.008376 0.026966 0.055978 0.098078 0.153174 0.219574 0.302875
2025-12-14 0.007819 0.026897 0.057308 0.101895 0.160611 0.231660 0.321053
2025-12-21 0.006706 0.025610 0.056732 0.103064 0.164628 0.239559 0.334225
2025-12-28 0.007116 0.027381 0.060817 0.110646 0.176897 0.257563 0.359502
2026-01-04 0.005706 0.025232 0.058788 0.109721 0.178162 0.262057 0.368581
2026-01-11 0.004981 0.024397 0.058728 0.111484 0.182868 0.270756 0.382692
2026-01-18 0.004114 0.023060 0.057781 0.111938 0.185830 0.277273 0.394155
2026-01-25 0.003528 0.022268 0.057656 0.113520 0.190241 0.285569 0.407757
2026-02-01 0.002804 0.020923 0.056529 0.113603 0.192633 0.291324 0.418255
2026-02-08 0.001838 0.018480 0.053356 0.110583 0.190802 0.291718 0.422161